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Sovereign Risk Ceilings: Rethinking Credit Assessment Through Risk Disaggregation
Read more about Sovereign Risk Ceilings: Rethinking Credit Assessment Through Risk Disaggregation

Financing Climate & Sustainable Development / Report

Sovereign Risk Ceilings: Rethinking Credit Assessment Through Risk Disaggregation

Diagnosing how the sovereign ceiling functions as a simplifying shortcut that can obscure meaningful differences across borrowers, and proposing an alternative credit rating approach based on disaggregating sovereign risk into specific transmission channels.

  • IZ
  • Robert Ginsburg, Senior Fellow
  • WW+3

Igor Zelezetskii and 5 more

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Celine Yan Wang
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Muhamad Ababil Akram
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Anar Amarjargal
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Pulkit Bajpai
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Manuel Beltrán
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Chimi Dorji
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Valentina Fontana
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Danielle Fujimoto
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Eve Kaplan-Walbrecht
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Kailey Kimsa
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Ananya Mathur
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Lily McRae
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Tina Nguyen 
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Shunta Ofusa
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Ashwini Ramanathan
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Natalia Duran Ramirez
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Carlos Ivan Aguilar Rocha
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Maria Cecilia Chacon Rendon
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María Alejandra Salamanca
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Manraaj Singh
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Eszter Varga
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Alexandra Westfall
CW
Christy Wong
PC
Peyton Choo
HF
Helena Fu
QH
Quentin Harel
LH
Laura Huepenbecker
XL
Xinyi Lian
AR
Ashwini Ramanathan

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Carbon Accounting Circular Economy Community Benefits Development Planning Energy Transition Financing Climate & Sustainable Development Food Systems Industrial Decarbonization Industrial Policy International Investment Law Land Governance Mining, Metals and Resource-based Development Political Economy Sustainable Business Sustainable Finance

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Central America, South America & Caribbean Central Asia Europe Middle East & North Africa North America Oceania South and East Asia Sub-Saharan Africa

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Koji Sasaki Alexandra Guisinger Lu Wang Armand de Mestral Catherine Kessedjian Kenneth P. Thomas Ralph Alexander Lorz Birgit Meyer Julian Donaubauer Kimmo Sinivuori Stephen M. Schwebel Gus Van Harten Dylan G. Rassier Ralf Krüger Gary McMahon Peter Robinson Louis Brennan Charles-Emmanuel Côté Anna Joubin-Bret Joachim Karl David Kienzler Srividya Jandhyala Miguel Torres Preto Jose Guimon Katherine Lama Mevelyn Ong Robbie Schwieder Tarcisio Gazzini Joseph (Yusuf) Saei Claire Debucquois David Collins Vasiliki Mavroeidi Ilan Strauss Rory Macmillan Jason Blechman Richard Keck Ashraf Ali Mahate Terutomo Ozawa Michele Potestà Nigel Driffield David Bailey Jing Li Victor Steenbergen Lilac Nachum Catharine Titi James Otto Mélida Hodgson Sheng Zhang John Bush Sherry Stephenson Stephen Kobrin Gary Hufbauer Olle Östensson Rudolf Adlung Pedro Villegas Alpa Shah Fabrizio Di Benedetto Frank Bickenbach Kenneth J. Vandevelde Wan-Hsin Liu Rainer Geiger Guillaume Beaumier Nathan M. Jensen Jeremy Caddel Merim Razbaeva Luis M. Almeida James Nicholson Makane Moïse Mbengue Juan David Rodriguez-Rios Maria Alejandra Gonzalez-Perez Michael J. Enright Rafael Tamayo-Álvarez Eunsuk Hong Clara Roorda Shige Makino Anna De Luca Hyeock Lee Alisha Anderson Maryla Maliszewska Josaphat Kweka Steven Globerman Lauge N. Skovgaard Poulsen Carlos A. Primo Braga Inés Pérez Arroyo Maggie Cascadden Zayra Romo Sudeshna Ghosh Banerjee Eric Werker Sophie Nappert Herfried Wöss Reji K. Joseph Madison Condon Khyati Thakkar Matthew Hodgson Pedro de Faria Jorge Salem Laza Kekic Wolfgang Sofka Alvaro Cuervo-Cazurra Robert Milbourne Sarah Brewin Marie Bouchard Kathryn Gordon Marian G. Ingrams Blerina Xheraj Gustavo Rojas de Cerqueira César Robert Basedow Moataz Hussein Kennedy O. Opalo Felipe Hees Gözde Isik Anne van Aaken Gordon Clark Henry Loewendahl Peter Nunnenkamp Eric Neumayer Isabel Munilla Gavin Hayman Jennifer Loutit Daniel Allman Ravi Ramamurti Jared Talkin Geraldo Vidigal Tidiane Kinda Nahom Ghebrihiwet Wenhua Shan Delphine Nougayrède Maria Borga Gabriel Bottini Umirdinov Alisher Richard Braddock Anthea Roberts Cristián Rodríguez Chiffelle Rodrigo Monardes Vignolo Lee C. Bollinger Ping Lv Marti Flacks Francesca Spigarelli Thomas Jost Andrew D. Mitchell Soledad Mills Tania Voon Güneş Ünüvar Isabelle Ramdoo Lukas Linsi Frank J. Garcia Marion A. Creach Thor Petersen Jane Kelsey Fabio Morosini Yun Zheng Marie Poirot Jeremy Perelman Ana Arias Urones Adrien Le Louarn Tulika Bansal Miguel Pérez Ludeña Saurabh Garg Mateusz Kasprowicz Malan Rietveld Michail Karoglou Xavier M. Forneris Jun Xia Orlando F. Cabrera C. Paulo Cavallo Ritwika Sen Wolfgang Alschner Ricardo Figueiredo de Oliveira Carolina Arriagada Peters Pavel Trunin Akihiko Tamura Richard Ouellet Silvia Karina Fiezzoni Matteo Vaccaro-Incisa Gillian Davidson Roel Nieuwenkamp Casper Sonesson Khalil Hamdani Pierre Farcot David Chriki Noémie Lisbonis-Boyer Antje Kunst Jan Anton van Zanten David Uzsoki Rob van Tulder Morten Siersted Shaun Mann David Manley Scott Wayne Willison Mutagwaba David Laborde John Keyser Olivier Hartmann Alina Antoci Stephen E. Shay Guillermo Arenas Carmine Soprano Bede Lyimo Barak Hoffman James Harrison Robert Kirk Bernali Choudhury Jordon Kuschminder Emma Aisbett H.E. María Fernanda Espinosa Garcés Benjamin Boakye Dani Rodrik Theodore H. Moran Kavaljit Singh Carlos Correa Meg Kinnear Jan Knoerich David R. Boyd Ana Teresa Tavares-Lehmann Luc Bonnafous Wouter P.F. Schmit Jongbloed Upmanu Lall Yash Amonkar Salli Anne Swartz Evi Neophytou Joseph M. Wilde-Ramsing Pedro Barreto da Rocha Paranhos Pedro Mendonça Cavalcante Henrique Choer Moraes Linda Moon Robert W. Schwieder Victor Z. Chen Geraldine McAllister Jose Ramon Perea Oleksandr Volkov Andreas Tornaritis Sritha Reddy Alexandra Sdoukou Mark Feldman Jacqueline Mandelbaum Carlos Esplugues Joachim Pohl Andrei Panibratov Tomoko Ishikawa Ahmad Ghouri Stephan W. Schill Andrew Kerner Danielle Nogueira Qianwen Zhang Clarence Kwan Adam Douglas James Rising Lauren Gluzman Maria Celia Poblador Hailey Phillips Kirrin Hough Matías Sacco Shameera Khalid Angullia Estela Riveros Rosanna Carver Diana Valdéz Barboza Samuel Malin Martín Oviedo Pascottini Lauren Barredo Cecilia Llamosas Victorio Oxilia Eniko Horvath Daniel Ríos Festner Laura Waldman Yuezi Wu Yinbo Hu Christen Dobson Vijay Modi Ryan Ballard James Spalding Mzamose Gondwe Laure Dupain Charles F. A. Akayuli Annette Magnusson Kathryn Sturman Anja Ipp Carolina Menezes Cwajg Kinda Mohamadieh Kojo Busia Karan Bhuwalka Yong Liang William Sommer Carlo de Stefano Javiera Iribarren Beatrice Troiano Guido Arenas Zbigniew Zimny Francisco Klima Nikos Lavranos Mauro Valdés Rishi Gulati Margaret Sagan Michelle R. Sanchez-Badin Andrew Bauer Nicolás M. Perrone Lola Aganga Nathaniel Hoffman Saleem H. Ali Veronica Nyhan Jones Namrata Thapar Kelly Dudine Emily Spittle Clémence Boullanger Suzy Nikièma Nathalie Bernasconi-Osterwalder John P. Gaffney Amit Halevi George A. Bermann Gabriela Rubio-Domingo Maria Laura Marceddu Jiarui Chen Jonathan Hobbs Callum Thomas Robert K. Perrons David Mihalyi Marie Miller Alicia Inés Caballero Patrick R.P. Heller Irmak Ince Julien Chaisse Thomas Schorr Kristin Mendoza Marta Soprana Shayan Banerjee Michael Chiswick-Patterson Evan Gabor Logan Hinderliter Jürgen Kurtz Cody Aceveda Markus Leibrecht Matthew Stephenson Rodrigo Polanco Lazo Mara Greenberg Susan D. Franck Aaron Cosbey Ricardo Soares de Oliveira William Megginson Kate Gannon Veljko Fotak Bethany Saul Subrata Bhattacharjee Manon Aubry Diana McGinley Carlos Razo James Bond Amanda Addison Michael Mortimore Johnny West Ashley Starr Kinseth Octavio de Barros Iain Steel Carin Smaller Heather Eisenlord Luis Afonso Lima Lauren Waugh Charles Kovacs Max Linsen Emily Bugden Luke Eric Peterson Liesbeth Casier Andrea M. Bassi José Luis Gallardo Torres Reuven S. Avi-Yonah Susan Sell Esteban F.Fresno Rodríguez Lily McRae Santiago Peña Song Hong Chloe Zhou Kevin P. Gallagher Frank Garcia Mario Osorio Armand de Mestral C.M. Alvaro Santos Premila Nazareth Satyanand Lori Wallach David N. Fagan José Antonio Ocampo Pierre Habbard Daniel Rangel Mark E. Plotkin Sharan Burrow Kanika Gupta Edmund J. Malesky Juan Pablo Bohoslavsky Michelle Chan Christian Bellak Phil Bloomer Ana Toimil Alexandre de Gramont Brian Harley Lena Raxter Jason Webb Yackee Ayesha Chatterjee Jaya Prakash Pradhan Robin Marie Kelly Frédéric G. Sourgens Herbert M’cleod John Hauert Jessica Hennings Hans Smit Jean Boddewyn Lucas Moreira Jimenez Wolfgang A. Maschek Sudhanshu Roy Michael D. Nolan Adeet Dobhal Vishwas P. Govitrikar Glen Ireland Padma Mallampally Adrien Rose Harry G. Broadman Julien Topal Thomas Gourdon Giorgio Sacerdoti Nicolas Pickard Garcia Nilgün Gökgür Romain Poivet Miles Killingsworth Shawn Pelsinger Lucas Clover Alcolea Daniel M. Firger Huiping Chen Anna-Sophie Kloppe Nicolás Marcelo Perrone Shefa Siegel Joel Negin Achyuth Anil Gert Bruche Felton Johnston Mariano Gomezperalta Mary Wang Kabir Duggal Justin Cuddihey Hermann Ferré Matthew C. Porterfield Tyler Alviano Roger Smeets Elizabeth Fox Jessica Fanzo Qiaozi Guanglin Arjen Slangen Fanny Marie Everard Jean-François Hennart Elena Klonsky Sjoerd Beugelsdijk Sumanth Uppuluru Joel H. Moser Angeliki E Stougiannou Manfred Schekulin Akshay Malhotra George Kahale, III Ruihong Li Daniel H. Rosen Chhavi Maggu Thilo Hanemann Burulgul Sultanova John Evans Yannick Fiedler Margo Thomas Felix Martin Lockman Beatriz Nofa Ilmi Granoff Nandita Dasgupta Igor Zelezetskii Francisco Sercovich Waide Warner Gabriela P. Vizcaíno Mark Davis Kamil Gérard Ahmed Kirsten Hund José E. Alvarez Rhian-Mari Thomas OBE Mark Kantor Lucy Musonda Ana-Maria Poveda Garcés Nikiwe Msoni Ken Davies Elias Simbeye Mira Wilkins Dyless Mbewe Tadahiro Asami Jesinta Kunda Seev Hirsch Solomon Mwampikita Alice H. Amsden Husnawati Todd Allee Risdawati Ahmad Clint Peinhardt Imam Mas’ud Xiaoying Huo Didi Hardiana Chen Zhao Kisran Makati Jonathan Strauss Kiki Sriyanti Kalman Kalotay Iza Camarillo Daniel Villar Amaelle Seigneret Persephone Economou Rose Mosi Paul Antony Barbour Clarisse Marsac Sophie Meunier Sarah Dolton-Zborowski Beata Javorcik Harald Walkate Torfinn Harding Thomas Tayler Martin Roy Fiona Stewart Matthias Busse Agnieszka Smolenska Sandy Walker Megan Bowman Elizabeth L. Broomfield Peter Knaack Jo En Low Riona Bowhay Aleh Cherp Mark Manning Ilan Alon Shay Banerjee John M. Kline Ilana Solomon Jennifer Reimer Helen Ding Jianping Zhang Peter Veit Jarrod Wong Charles Young Shaun E. Donnelly Rob Pitman Alexander Böhmer Anders Pedersen Anthony O’Sullivan Wissem Heni Ruben Zandvliet Wendy Hapgood Vid Prislan Albert Bressand Xiaofang Shen James Morrissey Marc Jacob Romany Webb Abdoul’ Ganiou Mijiyawa Alejandra Cicero Robert Salomon Stephen Brooks Francisco García Abhijit Sharan Byungchae Jin Sandeep Dixit Jonathan (Josh) S. Kallmer Liam Kelley-St. Clair Anastasiya Ugale Sarah Cruz Baiju S. Vasani Justine Sylvester Marcos Orellana Kelly D. Ward Nicolle Graugnard Horline Njike Marino Baldi Téodyl Nkuintchua Nikia Clarke Teresa Parejo Janani Sarvanantham Michael Burger Xavier Carim Michael Jarvis Emanuel Xavier-Oliveira Agustin Redonda André Laplume Raul Ochoa Saurav Pathak Ricardo Meléndez-Ortiz Paul M. Vaaler Christian von Haldenwang Barclay E. James Simon J. Evenett Federico Ortino Andreas Freytag Jeff Wood Uri Dadush Sam G. Russ Axel Berger Susan Maples Lorenzo Cotula Juan José Herrera Jonathan Bonitcha Jeffrey Davidson Ayesha Audu Matthew Genasci Weijun Xie Zorigt Dashdorj Cynthia Sanborn Nadra Rahman Motoko Aizawa Rumbidzai Maweni Suzanne Greene Paolo Natali Jeff Geipel Nicola Woodroffe Heather Marquette Nathaniah Jacobs Carolina Ocampo-Maya Sophie Maria Thomashausen Mark Robinson Olena Pavlenko Elisa Peter Pallavi Roy Kaisa Toroskainen Moses Kulaba Amir Shafaie Erin Kitchell Beverley Hatcher-Mbu Maria Rocha Brenda Akankunda Dave Algoso Soledad Gattoni Florencia Guerzovich Tarald Gulseth Berge Rachael Knight Thierry Berger Chloe Field Baihui Lei Rohini Ram Mohan Gyunbae Joe Ingrid Zhou Madeleine Songy Ryan J. Lasnick Aniket Shah Francisco Javier Pardinas Favela Alexandra A. K. Meise Lara Wallis Anna Dell’Amico Leslie Hannay Grace Brennan Chris Albin-Lackey Kimathi Muirur Laura El-Katiri Josefina Correa Bryan Michael Sherrill Efosa Uwaifo Diana Marcela Urvi Agarwal Claudia P. Baethgen Regan Plekenpol Abrani Marrero Erin O’Dwyer Rico Rincoń Gaelle Espinosa Samory Toure Isabella Massa Lea Di Salvatore Brooke Güven Malcolm Rogge Howard Mann Nicolas Maennling D.R. Nagaraj Behzad Vaziri Yunkai Liao Huahua Chen Snea Singh Sean Gutierrez-Schieferl John Biberman Nathan Lobel Tehtena Mebratu-Tsegaye Jack Arnold Solina Kennedy Sam Szoke-Burke Jesse Coleman Ella Merrill Harald Walkate Fiona Stewart Sunayana Sasmal Theodoros Iliopoulos Mithatcan Aydos Kaitlin Y. Cordes Anna Bulman Heather Smith Matthew Willis Charlotte Bucke Paul Huggins Max Lulavy Cynthia Hanawalt Maria Diez Andres Jane Smyth Christina Bastin Rob Furdak Nora Mardirossian Matt Goldklang Rajat Panwar Vivek Pandey Mike Seigner Lisa Sachs Hansika Agrawal Esther Akwii Anjaly Ariyanayagam Ben Baraga Sebastian Barreto Martin Dietrich Brauch Ana Maria Camelo Vega Paulo Cunha Lara Fornabaio Helena Fu Laura Garcia Cancino Aniruddha Jaydeokar  Hazel Le Ladan Mehranvar Sara Saloum Nancy Siporin Lisa Sweat Perrine Toledano Tucker Wilke Bradford M. Willis Jeffrey D. Sachs Sheikh Khalid Bin Mustahail Al Mashani Rabah Arezki Joseph Bell Joan Carling Alexandre S. D’Ambrosio Olivier De Schutter Rohitesh Dhawan Jonathan T. Fried Kadir S. Gungor Gabrielle Kaufmann-Kohler Kerry Kennedy Sheila Khama Iris Krebber Justin Yifu Lin Maria Luiza de Oliveira Pinto e Paiva Antonio M.A. Pedro M Sornarajah Abigail Abrash Walton Louis T. Wells James Zhan Andrew Bernstein Paul DeNoon Ahmed Ihab Gamaleldin Robert Ginsburg Luke Hatton Denise Hearn  Lise Johnson Darius Nassiry Mouhamadou Kane Leila Kazemi Allan Marks Tom Mitro Carlo Papa Mauricio Rodas Karl P. Sauvant Jérôme Schmitt Igor Zelezetskii Robert van Zwieten Ajay Jagdish Celine Yan Wang Muhamad Ababil Akram Anar Amarjargal Pulkit Bajpai Manuel Beltrán Chimi Dorji Valentina Fontana Danielle Fujimoto Eve Kaplan-Walbrecht Kailey Kimsa Ananya Mathur Lily McRae Tina Nguyen  Shunta Ofusa Ashwini Ramanathan Natalia Duran Ramirez Carlos Ivan Aguilar Rocha Maria Cecilia Chacon Rendon María Alejandra Salamanca Manraaj Singh Eszter Varga Alexandra Westfall Christy Wong Peyton Choo Helena Fu Quentin Harel Laura Huepenbecker Xinyi Lian Ashwini Ramanathan
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